Model: TipTromba35H
Montana – Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 2:45 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 17d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.87% · n=359
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 17d 17h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Montana | Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D-W-D | D-D-W-D-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-D-L (home) | D-W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.75 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.40 for / 4.00 against | 4.00 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.25 for / 2.75 against (home) | 4.25 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.15First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds4.15Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Montana – Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.87% across 359 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample80
Win Rate30.0%
Profit-0.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Minas Boca U20 - Betim FC U20 | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | KF Ferizaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Real Santa Cruz - Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 3.40 | 4.27% |
| WIN | America RJ - Madureira RJ | 3.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | FK Cukaricki - Partizan Belgrade | 3.30 | 2.87% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 27 May 09:00 |
| LePa - EIF Academy | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 27 May 19:15 |
| Naft Maysan - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 28 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 2:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.87% • n=359
Start
Started 17d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 17d 17h ago