Puszcza Niepolomice II – MKS Trzebinia-Siersza

Model: TipA1

Puszcza Niepolomice II vs MKS Trzebinia-Siersza

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 27, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 44d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.39% · n=31
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 11h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MKS Trzebinia-Siersza. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MKS Trzebinia-Siersza

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

45/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.75First seen
Current4.89Now
Max odds4.89Highest point
Min odds4.75Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Puszcza Niepolomice IIHOME
VS
MKS Trzebinia-SierszaAWAY
WWL
Recent form
LW
Avg goals scored
1.67
2.00
Defensive weakness
1.67
2.50
Shots on target for
5.00
2.50
SoT conceded pressure
6.33
4.00
Home splitW-W-L1.67 scored / 1.67 conceded
Away splitL2.00 scored / 4.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.39% based on n=31 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.58% · n=86
V4 BandNONEROI -0.39% · n=31
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 3.2% 7D: 31.5% 15D: 21.5% 30D: 6.6%
Model insight

Puszcza Niepolomice II – MKS Trzebinia-Siersza Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 86 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.39% across 31 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample14
Win Rate21.4%
Profit+0.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKozarmisleny SE - Pecsi MFC5.003.58%
WINCobresal - La Serena5.003.58%
LOSSSouth Hobart (W) - Kingborough Lions (W)5.003.58%
WINJK Viljandi Tulevik - FC Levadia Tallinn U195.003.58%
LOSSParnu JK Vaprus II - JK Tallinna Kalev II5.003.58%
LOSSBecamex HCMC - Hoang Anh Gia Lai5.005.00%
LOSSES Zarzis - Bizertin4.755.00%
LOSSCD Imperial Unido - Atletico Oriente4.502.88%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Willem II - FC Eindhoven24.753.58%11 Jul 11:00
Grazer AK - SV Kapfenberg24.753.58%11 Jul 17:00
Metz - Versailles 7825.005.00%11 Jul 17:24
Pick
2 @ 4.75
Kickoff
Mag 27, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=86
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-0.39% • n=31
Start
Started 44d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 11h ago
Torna in alto