Gremio Novorizontino – Avai

Model: TIPPSH

Gremio Novorizontino – Avai

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:15 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 26d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Gremio Novorizontino Avai
Last 5 form L-L-W-D-W W-L-L-W-D
Avg goals scored 1.40 1.40
Avg goals conceded 1.00 1.40
Home/Away form L-W-W-D (home) W-L-D-L-W (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.25 scored / 1.00 conceded 1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Shots on target 5.80 for / 4.40 against 4.00 for / 6.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.25 for / 4.75 against (home) 4.00 for / 6.00 against (away)

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Gremio Novorizontino is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.65First seen
Current2.13Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.65Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Gremio Novorizontino – Avai Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample234
Win Rate47.0%
Profit-11.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINAscoli - Catania2.282.49%
WIN29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma2.313.15%
LOSSCentral & Western - Hoi King2.203.37%
WINKariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio2.282.49%
WINVarnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B1.893.37%
WINLeones de Rosario - General Lamadrid2.382.49%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 26d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 27d ago
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