Guayaquil City – Orense

Model: TIPPSA

Guayaquil City – Orense

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.48
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 19, 2026 4:00 AM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 7d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.59% · n=214
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8d 7h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Guayaquil City Orense
Last 5 form L-L-L-L-L W-W-W-D-W
Avg goals scored 0.40 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.40 0.60
Home/Away form L-L-W-W (home) W-W-W-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.75 scored / 0.75 conceded 1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 2.40 for / 5.20 against 5.80 for / 4.40 against
Home/Away shots on target 3.50 for / 6.00 against (home) 4.00 for / 5.50 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Orense's attacking profile.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.61First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.61Highest point
Min odds2.39Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight

Guayaquil City – Orense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.48. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.59% across 214 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample150
Win Rate40.0%
Profit-2.27u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSC Kiryat Yam - Maccabi Petah Tikva2.253.43%
LOSSNK Radomlje - NS Mura2.554.13%
LOSSADO Den Haag (W) - PEC Zwolle (W)2.254.13%
WINHelsingborg - Varbergs BoIS FC2.634.13%
LOSSAFC Hermannstadt - FCSB2.263.31%
LOSSKasimpasa - Galatasaray2.273.31%
WINAlmagro - San Martin SJ2.624.44%
WINPolonia Bytom - Slask Wroclaw2.573.31%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.48
Kickoff
Mag 19, 2026 4:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.59% • n=214
Start
Started 7d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 8d 7h ago
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