Model: TIPPSA
Guillermo Brown – CA Alvarado
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.05
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 31, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 1d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Guillermo Brown | CA Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-D-W-D | D-W-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L-L (home) | D-L-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 0.25 scored / 0.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 3.20 against | 5.40 for / 2.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 4.25 against (home) | 3.50 for / 2.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to CA Alvarado's attacking profile.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 8.9%
7D: 18.7%
15D: 23.4%
30D: 10.9%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.75First seen
Current3.10Now
Max odds3.60Highest point
Min odds2.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Guillermo Brown – CA Alvarado Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.05. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample16
Win Rate37.5%
Profit+3.19u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Qingdao West Coast - Shanghai Shenhua | 2.91 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Egypt - Russia | 3.27 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Cadiz - Leganes | 2.86 | 4.96% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng - Dalian Young Boy | 2.88 | 4.96% |
| WIN | Maritimo - Chaves | 3.30 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Cuenca - Tecnico Universitario | 3.25 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.05
Kickoff
Mag 31, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 1d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 23h ago