KF Drita – FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model: TIPPSA

KF Drita vs FK Kauno Zalgiris

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.36
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 14, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 1d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.79% · n=75
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 10h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Kauno Zalgiris. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.78First seen
Current3.15Now
Max odds3.15Highest point
Min odds2.78Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KF DritaHOME
VS
FK Kauno ZalgirisAWAY
LDLLL
Recent form
WWDDW
Avg goals scored
1.40
2.00
Defensive weakness
2.60
0.60
Shots on target for
2.80
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
1.40
Home splitL-L-W-W-W1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-W-D1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.36. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.79% based on n=75 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.36
V2 BandNONEROI -0.79% · n=75
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -31.4% 7D: 8.8% 15D: 23.2% 30D: 15.4%
Model insight

KF Drita – FK Kauno Zalgiris Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.36. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.79% across 75 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample24
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+1.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSacramento Republic - Rhode Island FC3.50-1.31%
LOSSAvai - Cuiaba3.20-1.07%
WINSao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude3.22-1.07%
LOSSTianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)3.43-0.79%
WINAcademia Puerto Cabello II - Zamora II3.15-1.07%
LOSSPSG - Arsenal3.12-1.07%
LOSSSiroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U193.15-1.07%
WINHibernian - Motherwell3.17-0.51%
Pick
2 @ 3.36
Kickoff
Lug 14, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.79% • n=75
Start
Started 1d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 10h ago
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