Kalmar FF – Malmo FF

Model: TIPPSA

Kalmar FF vs Malmo FF

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.82
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffLug 20, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 1d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Malmo FF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Malmo FFGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.39First seen
Current2.82Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.35Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kalmar FFHOME
VS
Malmo FFAWAY
DLWWW
Recent form
DWWDW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.80
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.20
Shots on target for
2.00
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
4.60
Home splitD-W-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitD-W-L-L-W1.40 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.82. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.96% based on n=166 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.82
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.96% · n=166
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Malmo FF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 39.0% 7D: 27.7% 15D: 17.4% 30D: 20.7%
Model insight

Kalmar FF – Malmo FF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.82. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.96% across 166 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample63
Win Rate39.7%
Profit+4.12u
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WINSantamarina Tandil - Club Villa Mitre2.654.13%
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LOSSDeportes Copiapo - Santiago Wanderers2.924.96%
WINNew Zealand (W) - Haiti (W)2.864.96%
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Retro FC Brasil - America RN22.703.31%30 Apr 02:30
Pick
2 @ 2.82
Kickoff
Lug 20, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.96% • n=166
Start
Started 1d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 15h ago
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