Hammarby – Anderlecht

Model: TIPPSH

Hammarby vs Anderlecht

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.45
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 23, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 3h
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hammarby. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HammarbyGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.133 | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

61/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.82First seen
Current2.45Now
Max odds2.87Highest point
Min odds2.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HammarbyHOME
VS
AnderlechtAWAY
WWWWL
Recent form
WDLWD
Avg goals scored
2.80
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
7.60
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
2.60
3.40
Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-L-W1.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.45. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Europa League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.45
V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Hammarby. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Hammarby has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 44.8% 7D: 24.8% 15D: 16.8% 30D: 19.7%
Model insight

Hammarby – Anderlecht Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.45. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate60.0%
Profit+6.82u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSBangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC2.558.94%
WINDalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan2.288.94%
LOSSFarul Constanta - Otelul Galati2.308.94%
WINGreen Gully - Bentleigh Greens2.398.94%
WINHeidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U232.638.94%
WINMonterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC2.518.94%
WINFC Livyi Bereh - PFC Oleksandria2.258.94%
LOSSMyanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W)2.4511.02%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence12.278.94%23 Jul 03:00
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti12.438.94%24 Jul 20:30
Servette - Basel12.408.94%25 Jul 18:00
Pick
1 @ 2.45
Kickoff
Lug 23, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Starts in 2d 3h
Updated
Updated 13h 13m ago
Torna in alto