Model: TipTromba2H

Hammarby TFF vs FBK Karlstad

PREDICTION

@ 1.53

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 09, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 16h 21m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 7h 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hammarby TFF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hammarby TFFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.203 | A: -0.120

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

41/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.47First seen

Current1.53Now

Max odds1.53Highest point

Min odds1.47Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hammarby TFFHOME

FBK KarlstadAWAY

WWDWW

Recent form

LLWLW

Avg goals scored

3.80

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.40

2.60

Shots on target for

7.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.40

4.80

Home splitW-D-L-W-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-D-W2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.53. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.53

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Hammarby TFF showing a clearer performance edge. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Hammarby TFF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 14.3% 7D: 17.7% 15D: 7.9% 30D: 11.5%

Model insight

Hammarby TFF – FBK Karlstad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.53. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample72

Win Rate69.4%

Profit+9.87u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Kagoshima United - Thespa Gunma	1.75	7.35%
LOSS	Bavois - FC Zurich II	1.75	6.89%
WIN	FCJ Blackbird - JJK/2	1.50	6.49%
LOSS	SAK Klagenfurt - KAC 1909	1.75	6.17%
WIN	Skara - Vanersborgs FK	1.55	6.49%
WIN	Bronshoj BK - Sundby	1.62	6.49%
LOSS	Irtysh Pavlodar (W) - Tobol Kostanay (W)	1.50	6.49%
WIN	Wigry Suwalki - LKS Lodz II	1.75	6.89%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Heimo (W) - EPS (W)	1	1.75	6.89%	09 Aug 14:00
EC Sao Bernardo - Sao Caetano	1	1.75	7.35%	09 Aug 16:00

Pick

1 @ 1.53

Kickoff

Ago 09, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Starts in 16h 21m

Updated

Updated 7h 10m ago