ASD Res Roma (W) – Frosinone (W)

Model: TIPPSH

ASD Res Roma (W) vs Frosinone (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 6h 49m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8h 57m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is ASD Res Roma (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: ASD Res Roma (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: 0.032

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

39/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current2.50Now
Max odds2.50Highest point
Min odds1.75Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

ASD Res Roma (W)HOME
VS
Frosinone (W)AWAY
DLLWW
Recent form
DDLWW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.40
Defensive weakness
2.00
1.60
Shots on target for
8.25
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
5.40
Home splitD-L-W-W2.50 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitD-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.50. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Italy Serie B Women (it). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.50
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market prices ASD Res Roma (W) as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. ASD Res Roma (W) is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -2.7% 7D: 8.1% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 5.4%
Model insight

ASD Res Roma (W) – Frosinone (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.50. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample215
Win Rate41.9%
Profit+5.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSEISA OSA Rheia FC (W) - Veertien Mie (W)2.302.49%
LOSSStandard Liege II - RFC Meux2.612.49%
LOSSMahasarakham SBT FC - Songkhla FC2.253.15%
LOSSCoventry U21 - West Brom U212.692.49%
WINSantiago Tulantepec - Club Hidalguense2.672.49%
LOSSLimanovia Limanowa - Luban Maniowy2.342.49%
LOSSAl Hidd - Al-Ahli Manama2.563.15%
LOSSHercules - Atletico Madrid B2.263.15%
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HJK Helsinki - FC Inter12.623.15%09 Sep 17:00
Pick
1 @ 2.50
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 6h 49m ago
Updated
Updated 8h 57m ago
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