Hapoel Kiryat Shmona – Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

Model: TIPPSH

Hapoel Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 04, 2026 8:45 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 31m
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1h 57m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hapoel Kiryat Shmona. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hapoel Kiryat ShmonaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.122 | A: -0.155

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.04First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds1.82Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hapoel Kiryat ShmonaHOME
VS
Hapoel Bnei SakhninAWAY
WWLWD
Recent form
LLLLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
2.40
Shots on target for
7.20
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
5.20
Home splitW-L-W-W-W2.20 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-L-L0.20 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel League Cup (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Hapoel Kiryat Shmona is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 88.6% 7D: 24.4% 15D: 8.2% 30D: 13.0%
Model insight

Hapoel Kiryat Shmona – Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample213
Win Rate43.2%
Profit-12.08u
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Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Alianza Atletico - Cienciano12.352.49%06 Aug 22:00
Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Ago 04, 2026 8:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Starts in 31m
Updated
Updated 1h 57m ago
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