Model: TIPPSH

Harborough Town vs Darlington 1883

PREDICTION

@ 1.93

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 22, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 17h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Harborough Town. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Harborough TownGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.023 | A: 0.017

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.08First seen

Current1.93Now

Max odds2.08Highest point

Min odds1.93Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Harborough TownHOME

Darlington 1883AWAY

DWDDW

Recent form

LWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.80

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.80

Shots on target for

5.80

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

4.60

Home splitW-W-D-W2.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-D2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to England National League North (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.93

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Harborough Town's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 72.7% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 3.4% 30D: 4.4%

Model insight

Harborough Town – Darlington 1883 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample352

Win Rate50.3%

Profit-9.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Crvena Zvezda - Viktoria Plzen	1.79	3.37%
LOSS	Cesar Vallejo Reserves - Juventud Cautivo	2.11	3.37%
WIN	Sogdiana Jizzakh - Qizilqum Zarafshon	1.78	3.37%
LOSS	Criciuma U20 - Chapecoense U20	2.04	3.37%
LOSS	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	1.78	3.37%
LOSS	Everton de Vina - Audax Italiano	1.96	3.37%
WIN	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia	1.83	3.37%
LOSS	Dinamo Samarqand - Xorazm Urganch	1.76	3.37%

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SW Bregenz - Sturm Graz II	1	2.10	3.37%	22 Aug 17:30
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Pick

1 @ 1.93

Kickoff

Ago 22, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

3.37% • n=795

Start

Starts in 1d 17h

Updated

Updated 10m ago