Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Dunav Ruse

Model: TIPPSH

Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.69
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 16, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 2h 53m ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -4.66% · n=356
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h 22m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lokomotiv Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lokomotiv PlovdivGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.062 | A: -0.037

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

4/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.69Now
Max odds1.80Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lokomotiv PlovdivHOME
VS
Dunav RuseAWAY
LLLWL
Recent form
WLLLL
Avg goals scored
0.60
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.40
1.80
Shots on target for
3.60
2.80
SoT conceded pressure
4.40
8.00
Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-D-D1.00 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.69
V2 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
V4 BandNONEROI -4.66% · n=356
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market is strongly leaning toward Lokomotiv Plovdiv, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -24.3% 7D: -21.0% 15D: -0.1% 30D: 4.1%
Model insight

Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Dunav Ruse Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.69. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -4.66% and -4.66%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample372
Win Rate62.1%
Profit+15.74u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINDeportivo San Pedro - Aurora1.66-4.66%
WINAland United (W) - HPS (W)1.71-10.11%
WINONS (W) - HJK II (W)1.65-7.35%
WINOdd II - Hinna1.64-9.21%
WINCD Constitucion Unido - Puente Alto1.68-9.21%
LOSSMorocco (W) - Algeria (W)1.69-9.21%
LOSSBradford - Peterborough1.65-7.35%
WINDeportivo Saprissa - Cartagines1.67-7.35%
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Pick
1 @ 1.69
Kickoff
Ago 16, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -4.66% • n=356
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-4.66% • n=356
Start
Started 2h 53m ago
Updated
Updated 7h 22m ago
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