Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Dunav Ruse
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Lokomotiv Plovdiv. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Lokomotiv PlovdivGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.062 | A: -0.037Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.69. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -4.66% based on n=356 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bulgaria First League (bg). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market is strongly leaning toward Lokomotiv Plovdiv, but the statistical edge looks less pronounced. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv – Dunav Ruse Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo San Pedro - Aurora | 1.66 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Aland United (W) - HPS (W) | 1.71 | -10.11% |
| WIN | ONS (W) - HJK II (W) | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Odd II - Hinna | 1.64 | -9.21% |
| WIN | CD Constitucion Unido - Puente Alto | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Morocco (W) - Algeria (W) | 1.69 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Bradford - Peterborough | 1.65 | -7.35% |
| WIN | Deportivo Saprissa - Cartagines | 1.67 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Leiknir Reykjavik - KF Aegir | 1 | 1.65 | -9.21% | 17 Aug 20:00 |
| KF Drita - Inter Club d'Escaldes | 1 | 1.69 | -10.11% | 20 Aug 20:00 |
| Kashiwa Reysol - V-Varen Nagasaki | 1 | 1.67 | -4.66% | 21 Aug 12:00 |
| Cherno More Varna - Dunav Ruse | 1 | 1.62 | -4.66% | 21 Aug 20:15 |
| Dundalk - Galway United | 1 | 1.74 | -10.11% | 21 Aug 20:45 |