Nueva Chicago – Atletico Rafaela

Model: TIPPSH

Nueva Chicago vs Atletico Rafaela

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.72
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 20, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 44d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 47d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Nueva Chicago. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Nueva ChicagoGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.49First seen
Current2.72Now
Max odds2.72Highest point
Min odds2.49Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Nueva ChicagoHOME
VS
Atletico RafaelaAWAY
LWDLL
Recent form
DWLWL
Avg goals scored
0.80
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.80
Shots on target for
3.80
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
5.40
Home splitW-D-L-D-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L-D0.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.72. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Nacional B (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.72
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -6.2% 7D: -13.9% 15D: -5.2% 30D: 8.7%
Model insight

Nueva Chicago – Atletico Rafaela Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.72. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample64
Win Rate37.5%
Profit-1.80u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINMan Utd - Atletico Madrid2.601.59%
LOSSBochum II - Borussia Dortmund II2.731.59%
WINUnion Cocle - San Francisco FC2.521.59%
LOSSFC Talant - FC Dordoi Bishkek2.581.59%
WINDeportivo Maipu - CA Atlanta2.661.59%
WINGranada - Almeria2.691.59%
LOSSMaccabi Petah Tikva - Maccabi Netanya2.741.59%
WINNK Nafta 1903 - NS Mura2.551.59%
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Pick
1 @ 2.72
Kickoff
Giu 20, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Started 44d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 47d ago
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