Heerenveen vs Ajax
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Ajax. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AjaxValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.09. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.58% based on n=409 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eredivisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ajax's attacking profile.
Heerenveen – Ajax Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Radomiak Radom - Hapoel Beer Sheva | 2.04 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Fortaleza U20 - Vasco da Gama U20 | 2.11 | 1.21% |
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens - Altona Magic | 2.29 | 0.84% |
| WIN | Holland Park Hawks - Redlands United | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| WIN | IFK Mariehamn - IF Gnistan | 2.03 | 1.21% |
| LOSS | Nunawading - Keilor Park | 2.25 | 0.84% |
| WIN | MyPa - PPJ | 2.06 | 1.76% |
| LOSS | Odense BK II (W) - BSF (W) | 2.02 | 1.76% |