Model: TIPPSH

HNK Segesta vs Karlovac

PREDICTION

@ 2.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 18, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 45m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HNK Segesta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HNK Segesta

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.40First seen

Current2.40Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.40Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HNK SegestaHOME

KarlovacAWAY

WWWWW

Recent form

DWLWL

Avg goals scored

4.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.20

Shots on target for

6.80

1.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.40

4.80

Home splitW-L-W2.00 scored / 0.67 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.50 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.40

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. HNK Segesta is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: 0.9% 7D: -17.9% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 14.2%

Model insight

HNK Segesta – Karlovac Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample151

Win Rate43.0%

Profit+0.51u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Riverside Olympic - Clarence Zebras FC	2.47	1.59%
WIN	Ocean City Nor'easters - FC Motown STA	2.24	1.04%
WIN	AZ Reserves - Ajax Reserves	2.25	1.59%
WIN	Slovan Bratislava - Pafos FC	2.43	1.59%
WIN	Keflavik (W) - Haukar (W)	2.32	1.59%
LOSS	Sao Luis MA - Pinheiro AC	2.35	1.59%
WIN	FK Jablonec - FC Kharkiv	2.26	1.59%
LOSS	Barnet - Watford	2.35	1.41%

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Pick

1 @ 2.40

Kickoff

Lug 18, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Starts in 1h 45m

Updated

Updated 16m ago