Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Houston Dynamo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Houston DynamoGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.061 | A: -0.168Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.72. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Market expectations and recent results both point toward Houston Dynamo as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Houston Dynamo – San Jose Earthquakes Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Maccabi Netanya U19 - Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv U19 | 1.68 | -9.21% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - America MG | 1.67 | -9.21% |
| LOSS | Coventry U21 - Fleetwood Town U21 | 1.63 | -4.66% |
| WIN | FK Andijan - Xorazm Urganch | 1.67 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Watford - Peterborough | 1.65 | -4.66% |
| WIN | Gil Vicente - Casa Pia | 1.73 | -10.11% |
| WIN | PSV Reserves - Top Oss | 1.66 | -7.35% |
| LOSS | Veranopolis - Santa Cruz RS | 1.71 | -7.35% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Lightning - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.63 | -7.35% | 05 Jun 12:30 |
| Guijuelo - CDA Palencia | 1 | 1.70 | -9.21% | 07 Jun 18:00 |
| Rana FK - Follo | 1 | 1.71 | -9.21% | 26 Aug 15:00 |
| Vasco da Gama - Vitoria | 1 | 1.68 | -4.66% | 27 Aug 02:30 |
| Estudiantes LP - Barracas Central | 1 | 1.69 | -4.66% | 28 Aug 00:00 |
| Shanghai Shenhua - Shandong Taishan | 1 | 1.69 | -9.21% | 28 Aug 13:35 |
| Brooklyn FC - Sporting JAX | 1 | 1.67 | -7.35% | 30 Aug 01:00 |
| Aris Salonika - OFI Crete | 1 | 1.68 | -9.21% | 30 Aug 18:30 |