Model: TipA1

HPS vs Atlantis

PREDICTION

@ 2.75

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 16, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS4 - 3

StartStarted 55d 21h ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.37% · n=226

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 12.37% · n=226

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 57d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Atlantis. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Atlantis

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

76/100

Excellent value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.75Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.75Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HPSHOME

AtlantisAWAY

WWLLD

Recent form

LWLDL

Avg goals scored

2.20

2.60

Defensive weakness

2.00

3.20

Shots on target for

4.00

6.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

Home splitW-L-L-L-W2.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-W3.25 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 12.37% based on n=226 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kakkonen Group A (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.75

V2 BandELITEROI 12.37% · n=226

V4 BandELITEROI 12.37% · n=226

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Atlantis. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Atlantis is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 27.2% 7D: 14.2% 15D: -5.7% 30D: -1.5%

Model insight

HPS – Atlantis Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 12.37% and 12.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample23

Win Rate43.5%

Profit+4.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Räppe GOIF - Staffanstorp United	2.50	11.14%
LOSS	CD Nueva Santa Cruz - Virginia USC	2.75	9.73%
WIN	Fremantle City FC (W) - Balcatta FC (W)	2.70	11.14%
WIN	Sobradinho U20 - Capital CF U20	2.80	9.73%
LOSS	New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising FC	2.80	12.47%
LOSS	All Boys U20 - Villa Dalmine U20	3.00	12.47%
WIN	Brunei - Timor Leste	3.00	9.73%
LOSS	Boca Unidos - CA Bartolome Mitre	2.90	12.47%

Pick

2 @ 2.75

Kickoff

Mag 16, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 12.37% • n=226

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

12.37% • n=226

Start

Started 55d 21h ago

Updated

Updated 57d 1h ago