Model: TIPPSA

New Mexico United vs Phoenix Rising FC

PREDICTION

@ 2.80

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 07, 2026 5:30 AM

ResultLOSS4 - 0

StartStarted 44d 20h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.70% · n=151

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 23h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Phoenix Rising FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Phoenix Rising FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

60/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.00First seen

Current3.00Now

Max odds3.00Highest point

Min odds3.00Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

New Mexico UnitedHOME

Phoenix Rising FCAWAY

WDWLL

Recent form

LWLWD

Avg goals scored

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.80

Shots on target for

2.20

5.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.00

Home splitW-W-L-W-D2.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-W-W-L0.80 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.80. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 7.70% based on n=151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Cup (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.80

V2 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151

V4 BandHIGHROI 7.70% · n=151

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market prices Phoenix Rising FC as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Phoenix Rising FC is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -21.6% 7D: -14.1% 15D: 1.2% 30D: 12.7%

Model insight

New Mexico United – Phoenix Rising FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 7.70% and 7.70%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample27

Win Rate40.7%

Profit+4.63u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Ararat Armenia - Shamrock Rovers	3.00	7.70%
LOSS	OLS - SalPa	2.84	7.70%
LOSS	FC Kitzbuhel - Hohenems	2.82	7.70%
WIN	Maccabi Panthers Ashdod (W) - FC Ramat Hasharon (W)	2.83	7.70%
LOSS	Deportivo Moquegua - AD Tarma	2.94	6.31%
LOSS	Madura United - Bali United	2.82	5.70%
LOSS	Bayer Leverkusen - RB Leipzig	3.00	6.31%
WIN	Aubagne Air Bel - Stade Briochin	2.76	5.70%

Pick

2 @ 2.80

Kickoff

Giu 07, 2026 5:30 AM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 7.70% • n=151

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

7.70% • n=151

Start

Started 44d 20h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 23h ago