Model: TipA1
HSK Posusje – FK Sarajevo
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 30d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d 3h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | HSK Posusje | FK Sarajevo |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-D-D | W-W-W-W-D |
| Avg goals scored | 0.67 | 1.80 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-D (home) | W-W-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.67 for / 3.33 against | 5.80 for / 1.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 2.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 1.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. FK Sarajevo has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.27First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
HSK Posusje – FK Sarajevo Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample95
Win Rate37.9%
Profit-4.38u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HK/Ymir Kopavogur U19 - Thor/THK/Volsungur U19 | 2.40 | 4.27% |
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Phu Dong FC - Da Nang II | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Newmarket - Moggill | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Polonia Sroda Slaska - Prochowiczanka Prochowice | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Acao (W) - Sport Recife (W) | 2.45 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 30d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 31d 3h ago