HSK Posusje – FK Sarajevo

Model: TipA1

HSK Posusje vs FK Sarajevo

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.63
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 9:45 PM
ResultWIN0 - 1
StartStarted 76d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FK Sarajevo. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FK Sarajevo

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

47/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.27First seen
Current2.63Now
Max odds2.63Highest point
Min odds2.20Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HSK PosusjeHOME
VS
FK SarajevoAWAY
LDD
Recent form
WWWWD
Avg goals scored
0.67
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.00
0.40
Shots on target for
2.67
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.33
1.60
Home splitL-D0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-D1.00 scored / 0.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.63. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.39% based on n=969 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Bosnia & Herzegovina Premier Liga (ba). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.63
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, FK Sarajevo shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. FK Sarajevo is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 11.6% 7D: 6.3% 15D: 8.5% 30D: 16.5%
Model insight

HSK Posusje – FK Sarajevo Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.63. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample126
Win Rate40.5%
Profit+2.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSABB U19 - CDT Real Oruro U192.634.27%
LOSSMarcilio Dias - Portuguesa Desportos2.454.27%
LOSSHPS - Reipas2.504.27%
WINOdd BK - Haugesund2.704.27%
LOSSSC Kalsdorf - FC Marchfeld Donauauen2.604.27%
WINGold Coast Knights U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U232.504.27%
LOSSModbury Vista Reserves (W) - Salisbury Inter Reserves (W)2.504.27%
LOSSDefensores Unidos - Argentino Merlo2.384.27%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
CFD La Nororiental - Molino Viejo22.454.27%12 Jul 19:00
Pick
2 @ 2.63
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 9:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Start
Started 76d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 3h ago
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