Model: TipA1

Independiente FBC vs Deportivo Santaní

PREDICTION

@ 3.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 20, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultWIN0 - 2

StartStarted 103d 19h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 104d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Deportivo Santaní. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Deportivo SantaníGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.90First seen

Current3.93Now

Max odds3.97Highest point

Min odds3.90Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Independiente FBCHOME

Deportivo SantaníAWAY

LDWLW

Recent form

WDDLL

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

5.80

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

3.20

Home splitL-W-W-W1.25 scored / 0.50 conceded

Away splitW-D-L-W-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Paraguay Division Intermedia (py). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.60

V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 20.4% 7D: 20.8% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 1.4%

Model insight

Independiente FBC – Deportivo Santaní Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate23.7%

Profit-6.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Istres - Hauts Lyonnais	3.60	-0.53%
LOSS	AVS - Feirense	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Monori SE - Hodmezovasarhelyi	3.40	-3.74%
WIN	Royal U20 - Guanabara City U20	3.40	-0.53%
LOSS	Velez Mostar - FK Sloga Doboj	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Kagoshima United - FC Gifu	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Penybont - Llandudno	3.70	-3.74%
WIN	Haverfordwest County - Cambrian United	3.40	-3.74%

Pick

2 @ 3.60

Kickoff

Mag 20, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189

Start

Started 103d 19h ago

Updated

Updated 104d 12h ago