Model: TipA1

AVS vs Feirense

PREDICTION

@ 3.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 30, 2026 5:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 11h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 12h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Feirense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FeirenseGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.004 | A: -0.109

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.89First seen

Current3.83Now

Max odds3.89Highest point

Min odds3.81Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

AVSHOME

FeirenseAWAY

DDLDD

Recent form

LLDDW

Avg goals scored

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.80

Shots on target for

2.20

4.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.20

2.20

Home splitL-D-W-D-D1.20 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-W-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.60. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.74% based on n=189 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.60

V2 BandNONEROI -3.74% · n=189

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Feirense's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 16.0% 7D: 29.7% 15D: 6.6% 30D: 8.0%

Model insight

AVS – Feirense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -3.74% across 189 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample36

Win Rate22.2%

Profit-7.90u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Monori SE - Hodmezovasarhelyi	3.40	-3.74%
WIN	Royal U20 - Guanabara City U20	3.40	-0.53%
LOSS	Velez Mostar - FK Sloga Doboj	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Kagoshima United - FC Gifu	3.60	-3.74%
LOSS	Penybont - Llandudno	3.70	-3.74%
WIN	Haverfordwest County - Cambrian United	3.40	-3.74%
WIN	Alcione Milano - Novara	3.60	-3.74%
WIN	FC Tatran Presov (W) - Spartak Trnava (W)	3.50	-3.74%

Pick

2 @ 3.60

Kickoff

Ago 30, 2026 5:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -3.74% • n=189

Start

Starts in 2d 11h

Updated

Updated 1d 12h ago