Island Bay United – Petone FC

Model: TIPPSH

Island Bay United – Petone FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.68
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 24, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 2d 17h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 19h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Island Bay United Petone FC
Last 5 form W-L-W-W-L L-L-L-L-L
Avg goals scored 2.60 0.40
Avg goals conceded 1.80 2.60
Home/Away form W-L-L (home) L-L-L-L-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.67 scored / 2.67 conceded 0.60 scored / 2.60 conceded
Shots on target 5.40 for / 5.60 against 4.40 for / 7.00 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.33 for / 9.00 against (home) 5.00 for / 5.80 against (away)

AI Match Insight

Despite entering the match at a generous price, Island Bay United has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Island Bay United has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.68Now
Max odds2.68Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Island Bay United – Petone FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.68. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+1.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSSao Goncalo - Cabofriense2.784.53%
WINMlandege FC - Uhamiaji FC2.572.49%
LOSSGimnasia Mendoza Reserves - Atletico Tucuman Reserves2.502.49%
LOSSUral - Dynamo Makhachkala2.563.15%
WINUSM Alger - Olympique Akbou2.702.49%
Pick
1 @ 2.68
Kickoff
Mag 24, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 2d 17h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 19h ago
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