Island Bay United vs Petone FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Island Bay United. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Island Bay UnitedValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.68. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to New Zealand Central League (nz). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Island Bay United has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Island Bay United – Petone FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vikingur Reykjavik - Gyori ETO | 2.47 | 3.15% |
| WIN | San Diego Wave (W) - NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 2.89 | 4.53% |
| LOSS | Las Vegas Lights FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.84 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Angel City FC (W) - Orlando Pride (W) | 2.52 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Denver Summit FC (W) - Kansas City Current (W) | 2.47 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Vikingur Gota - NSI Runavik | 2.76 | 2.04% |
| WIN | Delaware FC - Real Central NJ | 2.80 | 4.53% |
| WIN | IF Gnistan (W) - PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2.55 | 2.49% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrikstad - Lillestrom | 1 | 2.89 | 2.04% | 11 Jul 14:00 |
| EPS - P-Iirot | 1 | 2.47 | 3.15% | 11 Jul 16:00 |