Model: TIPPSH

Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin

PREDICTION

@ 2.27

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 14h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Jagiellonia Bialystok. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Jagiellonia BialystokGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.010 | A: 0.051

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Jagiellonia BialystokHOME

Pogon SzczecinAWAY

LWWWW

Recent form

WWLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

6.40

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.20

Home splitL-W-W-W-W1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.27. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraklasa (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.27

V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Jagiellonia Bialystok's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -16.3% 7D: -2.6% 15D: 8.3% 30D: 9.5%

Model insight

Jagiellonia Bialystok – Pogon Szczecin Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.27. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate63.6%

Profit+10.55u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	AZ Reserves - FC Eindhoven	2.07	8.87%
WIN	Middleham United FC - Pointe Michel FC	2.38	8.94%
WIN	FC Emmen - Roda JC	2.28	8.94%
WIN	AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W)	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Versailles 78 - FC Fleury 91	2.15	8.87%
WIN	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	2.46	8.94%
LOSS	ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC	2.44	8.94%
WIN	Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence	2.27	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.43	8.94%	24 Jul 20:30

Pick

1 @ 2.27

Kickoff

Ago 15, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.94% • n=311

Start

Starts in 4d 14h

Updated

Updated 6m ago