Model: TipA1
JK Tallinna Kalev II – Parnu JK Vaprus II
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.55
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 28, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 28d 7h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=70
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=70
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 28d 21h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | JK Tallinna Kalev II | Parnu JK Vaprus II |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-L-L | W-L-D-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Home/Away form | L-L (home) | W-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 4.00 conceded | 2.67 scored / 2.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 9.00 against | 7.40 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.50 for / 8.50 against (home) | 5.33 for / 5.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The selection falls within a stronger historical confidence range, which makes the higher price more interesting. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Parnu JK Vaprus II's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.60Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
JK Tallinna Kalev II – Parnu JK Vaprus II Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.55. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.67% and 6.67%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample37
Win Rate48.6%
Profit+10.88u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Vanløse - Næsby | 2.38 | 6.67% |
| LOSS | HFX Wanderers - Inter Toronto | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | MTK Hungaria (W) - Gyor Eto FC (W) | 2.45 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | MPS U21 - Atlantis U21 | 2.50 | 6.36% |
| WIN | Eskilstuna Utd (W) - FC Rosengård (W) | 2.40 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | Keilor Park - Eastern Lions | 2.45 | 6.36% |
| LOSS | CD Marathon - Motagua | 2.80 | 5.52% |
| WIN | SV Donau - SC Wiener Viktoria | 2.75 | 5.52% |
Pick
2 @ 2.55
Kickoff
Apr 28, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 6.67% • n=70
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.67% • n=70
Start
Started 28d 7h ago
Updated
Updated 28d 21h ago