Model: TIPPSH
Juazeirense – ASA
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 26d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 27d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Juazeirense | ASA |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-W-D-W | D-L-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-W-W (home) | D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.00 for / 3.20 against | 3.40 for / 3.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.67 for / 2.33 against (home) | 3.67 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Juazeirense has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.45First seen
Current2.30Now
Max odds2.60Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Juazeirense – ASA Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample176
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-20.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 4:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 26d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 27d 11h ago