Model: TIPPSH

CD Lara vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

PREDICTION

@ 2.07

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 20, 2026 3:00 AM

ResultLOSS1 - 3

StartStarted 1d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 1d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is CD Lara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: CD LaraGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.075 | A: 0.016

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.25First seen

Current2.07Now

Max odds2.25Highest point

Min odds2.05Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

CD LaraHOME

Deportivo Rayo ZulianoAWAY

LWDLW

Recent form

WLWLL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.00

3.00

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

Home splitL-D-W-L-W2.60 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-L1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.07. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Venezuela Cup (ve). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.07

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. CD Lara has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 67.3% 7D: 4.4% 15D: 4.3% 30D: 4.2%

Model insight

CD Lara – Deportivo Rayo Zuliano Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.07. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample685

Win Rate49.9%

Profit+10.24u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	HooGee - EPS Reservi	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Real Pilar Reserves - Excursionistas Reserves	1.99	1.04%
WIN	Aryan FC - Measurers Club	1.95	1.04%
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Rayo Cantabria	1.95	1.31%
WIN	Kagoshima United - Renofa Yamaguchi	1.82	1.31%
LOSS	Wisla Plock II - LKS Lomza	2.02	1.04%
WIN	FK Zhenys - Kaisar Kyzylorda	2.20	1.31%
LOSS	Miedz Legnica II - Odra Bytom Odrzanski	2.15	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 2.07

Kickoff

Ago 20, 2026 3:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Started 1d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 1d 8h ago