Keilor Park vs Essendon Royals
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Essendon Royals. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Essendon RoyalsValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.34% based on n=108 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Victoria Premier League 2 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Essendon Royals is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Keilor Park – Essendon Royals Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Union FC Macomb - AFC Ann Arbor | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Linfield - Kilmarnock | 2.00 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Hurstville FC - Canterbury Bankstown FC | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Springvale White Eagles - Keilor Park | 2.10 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Figueirense U20 - Barra FC U20 | 2.00 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | Ferrocarril Midland Reserves - Defensores de Belgrano Reserves | 2.15 | 3.75% |
| WIN | Bentleigh Greens - South Melbourne | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2 | 2.25 | 4.27% | 12 Jul 04:00 |