Model: TipA1
Keilor Park – Essendon Royals
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 08, 2026 1:45 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 0
StartStarted 18d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.34% · n=108
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.34% · n=108
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Keilor Park | Essendon Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-D-D-L | L-W-L-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-D-W (home) | L-L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.25 scored / 0.75 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.60 for / 2.20 against | 7.20 for / 5.60 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.33 for / 0.33 against (home) | 4.00 for / 2.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Essendon Royals. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Essendon Royals is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.02First seen
Current2.08Now
Max odds2.08Highest point
Min odds2.01Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Keilor Park – Essendon Royals Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.34% and 2.34%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample53
Win Rate47.2%
Profit+0.55u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Sao Cristovao U20 - AA Carapebus U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Almirante Brown Reserves - CA San Miguel Reserves | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Muang Loei United - Uttaradit FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Ullensaker/Kisa U19 - Skeid U19 | 2.20 | 3.75% |
| LOSS | BFA Vilnius - FK Garliava | 2.15 | 2.34% |
| LOSS | Atletico Avila - Dynamo Puerto FC | 2.10 | 3.10% |
| LOSS | Lagarto - CS Sergipe | 2.25 | 4.99% |
| WIN | Al Ittifaq Dubai - Emirates Club RAK | 2.10 | 3.10% |
Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Mag 08, 2026 1:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.34% • n=108
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.34% • n=108
Start
Started 18d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 19d 1h ago