Model: TIPPSH

Kumu vs LAUTP II

PREDICTION

@ 1.81

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 02, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 48d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.72% · n=285

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 48d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kumu. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KumuGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

46/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.80First seen

Current1.81Now

Max odds1.88Highest point

Min odds1.61Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KumuHOME

LAUTP IIAWAY

WLLLL

Recent form

LLLLL

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.40

Defensive weakness

3.40

3.60

Shots on target for

3.40

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

10.80

13.20

Home splitW-L-L-L-W1.80 scored / 2.80 conceded

Away splitL-L-L-L0.50 scored / 4.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.72% based on n=285 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.81

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.72% · n=285

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors Kumu. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Kumu's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 70.3% 7D: 46.4% 15D: 20.1% 30D: 8.6%

Model insight

Kumu – LAUTP II Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.72% and 6.72%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate57.9%

Profit+1.86u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Eupen - Genk II	1.63	5.11%
LOSS	Barnsley - Bromley	1.96	6.72%
LOSS	Souths United - Taringa Rovers	1.94	6.72%
LOSS	Nelson Suburbs - Christchurch United	1.72	5.11%
WIN	Sabah - AGF Aarhus	2.00	6.72%
LOSS	Vysocina Jihlava - FK Pribram	2.01	6.72%
WIN	Sporting - Nottm Forest	2.05	6.72%
WIN	Flint City Bucks - Ventura County Fusion	1.79	6.72%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City	1	1.87	6.72%	23 Jul 23:30
Marseille - Strasbourg	1	1.75	6.72%	21 Aug 20:45
Livingston - Dunfermline	1	1.78	6.72%	22 Aug 16:00
SCR Altach - Hartberg	1	1.82	6.72%	22 Aug 17:00

Pick

1 @ 1.81

Kickoff

Lug 02, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.72% • n=285

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.72% • n=285

Start

Started 48d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 48d 7h ago