Lanus – Deportivo Riestra

Model: TIPPSH

Lanus vs Deportivo Riestra

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 9:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 70d 1h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.30% · n=590
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 70d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lanus. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lanus

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

35/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.85First seen
Current2.15Now
Max odds2.15Highest point
Min odds1.85Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LanusHOME
VS
Deportivo RiestraAWAY
DWDLW
Recent form
DWWLL
Avg goals scored
0.40
0.80
Defensive weakness
0.20
0.80
Shots on target for
4.80
2.00
SoT conceded pressure
2.20
5.20
Home splitD-W-D-W-W0.60 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-L0.00 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.30% based on n=590 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Argentina Liga Profesional (ar). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.30% · n=590
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Lanus has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -26.6% 7D: -1.7% 15D: -1.1% 30D: 10.6%
Model insight

Lanus – Deportivo Riestra Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.30% and 2.30%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample265
Win Rate46.0%
Profit-13.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2.383.15%
LOSSJacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U202.302.49%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz11.984.86%09 May 13:00
FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina11.932.30%10 May 19:00
Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 9:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.30% • n=590
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.30% • n=590
Start
Started 70d 1h ago
Updated
Updated 70d 3h ago
Torna in alto