Model: TipA1

LDU Quito vs SD Aucas

PREDICTION

@ 3.75

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 27, 2026 12:00 AM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 13h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.37% · n=123

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 16m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SD Aucas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SD AucasGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.011 | A: 0.037

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

56/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.75First seen

Current3.81Now

Max odds3.81Highest point

Min odds3.75Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LDU QuitoHOME

SD AucasAWAY

WWDWD

Recent form

WWLDW

Avg goals scored

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.20

0.40

Shots on target for

5.60

4.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.20

4.20

Home splitW-W-D-L-W1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-L1.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.75. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.37% based on n=123 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador Cup (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.75

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.37% · n=123

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 35.1% 7D: 32.4% 15D: 5.5% 30D: 6.6%

Model insight

LDU Quito – SD Aucas Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.75. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.37% across 123 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample70

Win Rate31.4%

Profit+12.95u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	KF Shkendija Haracine - KF Arsimi	3.75	2.27%
LOSS	Deportivo Maipu - Quilmes	3.75	4.37%
LOSS	Doncaster - Barnsley	3.50	2.63%
WIN	Dingnan Ganlian FC - Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC	3.50	2.63%
WIN	Comercial U20 - Rio Branco SP U20	4.00	2.27%
WIN	KKS 1925 Kalisz - Notec Czarnkow	3.90	4.73%
LOSS	FK Graficar Beograd - Loznica	3.75	4.37%
LOSS	Orlando City SC - Real Salt Lake	3.60	2.63%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Cucuta Deportivo - Alianza	2	3.50	2.63%	26 Aug 03:00

Pick

2 @ 3.75

Kickoff

Ago 27, 2026 12:00 AM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 4.37% • n=123

Start

Starts in 2d 13h

Updated

Updated 16m ago