Model: TipA1
Leca – SC Vianense
PREDICTION
2
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 30d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=184
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.46% · n=69
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 31d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Leca | SC Vianense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-W | L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded | 3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 7.00 for / 3.25 against | 5.75 for / 3.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.33 for / 2.67 against (home) | 8.00 for / 4.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current4.20Now
Max odds4.34Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Leca – SC Vianense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 184 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.46% across 69 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample13
Win Rate38.5%
Profit+7.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Johannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W) | 4.20 | 2.27% |
| LOSS | Albacete - Real Sociedad B | 4.10 | 2.27% |
| WIN | Boston River Reserves - Central Espanol Reserves | 4.10 | 2.94% |
| WIN | San Jose Earthquakes - FC Dallas | 4.20 | 2.94% |
| LOSS | Junior - Once Caldas | 4.33 | 2.88% |
| LOSS | Olimpo FC - Don Bosco Jr | 4.00 | 4.41% |
| WIN | Retro FC Brasil - CS Sergipe | 4.00 | 2.94% |
| WIN | Ajel de Rufisque - Stade de Mbour | 4.00 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=184
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.46% • n=69
Start
Started 30d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 31d ago