Leca – SC Vianense

Model: TipA1

Leca vs SC Vianense

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 79d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=184
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.46% · n=69
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 80d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Vianense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC Vianense

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

66/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current4.20Now
Max odds4.34Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LecaHOME
VS
SC VianenseAWAY
WWLW
Recent form
LWWW
Avg goals scored
3.00
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.25
Shots on target for
7.00
5.75
SoT conceded pressure
3.25
3.00
Home splitW-W-W4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.20. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.46% based on n=69 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Campeonato Nacional (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.20
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.94% · n=184
V4 BandHIGHROI 6.46% · n=69
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.5% 7D: 9.2% 15D: 12.3% 30D: 17.4%
Model insight

Leca – SC Vianense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.20. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 184 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 6.46% across 69 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample20
Win Rate30.0%
Profit+4.70u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSClermont Foot - US Orleans 454.002.27%
WINPoxyt - MPS4.204.37%
LOSSBath Estate - Mighty Avengers4.002.27%
LOSSHudson Valley Crusaders (W) - New England Mutiny (W)4.002.27%
LOSSJuventud Unida Universitario - CA Costa Brava4.104.73%
LOSSOrsomarso (W) - Junior (W)4.204.37%
LOSSCF Esperança d'Andorra - SC Escaldes4.002.27%
LOSSJohannesburg Uni (W) - Ezemvelo (W)4.202.27%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Ipswich FC - North Star24.204.73%18 Jul 09:30
Pick
2 @ 4.20
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=184
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
6.46% • n=69
Start
Started 79d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 80d 2h ago
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