Leca – SC Vianense

Model: TIPPSA

Leca vs SC Vianense

PREDICTION
2
@ 4.04
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 77d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SC Vianense. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SC Vianense

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

57/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current4.13Now
Max odds4.34Highest point
Min odds3.50Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LecaHOME
VS
SC VianenseAWAY
WWLW
Recent form
LWWW
Avg goals scored
3.00
3.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
1.25
Shots on target for
7.00
5.75
SoT conceded pressure
3.25
3.00
Home splitW-W-W4.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL-W3.50 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 4.04. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.23% based on n=45 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Campeonato Nacional (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd4.04
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.23% · n=45
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 31.5% 7D: 9.2% 15D: 12.3% 30D: 17.4%
Model insight

Leca – SC Vianense Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 4.04. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 45 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample12
Win Rate16.7%
Profit-3.76u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGoias - Vila Nova3.895.37%
WINIFK Norrkoping (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W)4.245.37%
LOSSLeyton Orient - Burton Albion4.215.37%
LOSSEspanyol - Levante3.915.37%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W)3.875.37%
LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.965.37%
WINMFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B4.005.37%
LOSSIA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U193.925.37%
Pick
2 @ 4.04
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.23% • n=45
Start
Started 77d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 77d 14h ago
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