Model: TIPPSH
Leixoes – Lusitania Lourosa
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.13
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 9d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9d 8h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Leixoes | Lusitania Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-L-W-W | L-L-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-D-L-D (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 0.33 conceded | 0.75 scored / 1.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 3.80 against | 2.60 for / 5.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 7.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 6.25 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Leixoes a useful statistical edge. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Leixoes has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.10First seen
Current2.13Now
Max odds2.13Highest point
Min odds2.07Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Leixoes – Lusitania Lourosa Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.13. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample234
Win Rate47.0%
Profit-11.67u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Varnsdorf - Mladá Boleslav B | 1.89 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.13
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 9d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 9d 8h ago