Model: TipTromba35H
Lens – PSG
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.41
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 13d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.87% · n=359
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 13d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lens | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-D-W | W-W-D-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W-W (home) | W-D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.00 scored / 1.25 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.25 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.20 for / 3.00 against | 5.40 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 10.00 for / 2.25 against (home) | 6.50 for / 5.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Lens. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lens's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.40First seen
Current3.51Now
Max odds3.58Highest point
Min odds3.40Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lens – PSG Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.41. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.87% across 359 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample80
Win Rate30.0%
Profit-0.42u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Uberabinha U20 - Inter De Minas U20 | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Minas Boca U20 - Betim FC U20 | 3.40 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | KF Ferizaj - KF Dukagjini | 3.30 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Central Coast United FC - Bonnyrigg White Eagles | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Chattanooga Red Wolves - Birmingham Legion FC | 3.20 | 3.58% |
| LOSS | Real Santa Cruz - Integracion Del Norte San Juan | 3.40 | 4.27% |
| WIN | America RJ - Madureira RJ | 3.40 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | FK Cukaricki - Partizan Belgrade | 3.30 | 2.87% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyprus U19 - Greece U19 | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 27 May 09:00 |
| LePa - EIF Academy | 1 | 3.40 | 3.56% | 27 May 19:15 |
| Naft Maysan - Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 3.25 | 4.14% | 28 May 17:00 |
Pick
1 @ 3.41
Kickoff
Mag 13, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.87% • n=359
Start
Started 13d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 13d 23h ago