Naft Maysan – Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model: TipTromba35H

Naft Maysan vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 28, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 43d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 44d 21h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Naft Maysan. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Naft Maysan

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

51/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.35Now
Max odds3.48Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Naft MaysanHOME
VS
Al Quwa Al JawiyaAWAY
LWWDW
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.40
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
3.20
Home splitL-W-D-W-D1.60 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-L-W-D-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iraq Stars League (iq). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Naft Maysan's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 7.8% 7D: 29.2% 15D: 26.2% 30D: 7.6%
Model insight

Naft Maysan – Al Quwa Al Jawiya Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample173
Win Rate28.9%
Profit-13.22u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINAguia de Maraba - ABC3.103.85%
WINMP II - HaPK3.002.17%
LOSSVejle - Randers FC3.253.56%
LOSSAS Trencin - FC Trinity Zlin3.203.85%
LOSSShijiazhuang Gongfu FC U20 - Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic U203.003.85%
LOSSNykarleby IK - Sporting Kristina3.203.85%
LOSSSunshine Coast Wanderers (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W)3.404.14%
LOSSCerro Largo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves3.404.14%
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MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
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Defensores de Cambaceres - Sacachispas13.203.85%11 Jul 20:00
Pick
1 @ 3.25
Kickoff
Mag 28, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 43d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 44d 21h ago
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