Model: TipTromba35H
Lietava Jonava – FK Siauliai
PREDICTION
1
@ 3.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 29, 2026 7:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 4
StartStarted 41d 16h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.58% · n=665
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.36% · n=211
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 42d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lietava Jonava | FK Siauliai |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-D-W-W | W-L-W-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W (home) | W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 1.67 conceded | 2.00 scored / 0.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 8.67 for / 3.00 against | 5.00 for / 4.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.50 for / 3.00 against (home) | 4.00 for / 7.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Lietava Jonava shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Lietava Jonava has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 18.2%
7D: 15.0%
15D: 6.6%
30D: 16.2%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.06Now
Max odds3.08Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lietava Jonava – FK Siauliai Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.00. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.58% across 665 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.36% across 211 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample82
Win Rate28.0%
Profit-10.40u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Dangjin Citizen FC - Changwon City | 3.25 | 4.14% |
| WIN | Gloria Popesti Leordeni - Unirea Alba Iulia | 3.00 | 2.17% |
| LOSS | Villa Espanola - Sportivo Bella Italia | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| WIN | Portuguesa Santista U20 - Ponte Preta U20 | 3.10 | 3.85% |
| LOSS | Haiti - Peru | 3.11 | 3.85% |
| WIN | NTNUI - Kvik Trondheim | 3.00 | 3.85% |
| WIN | North Pine - North Lakes United | 3.25 | 3.56% |
| LOSS | Morocco - Norway | 3.20 | 3.85% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caboolture FC - Rochedale Rovers | 1 | 3.25 | 3.56% | 13 Jun 10:15 |
Pick
1 @ 3.00
Kickoff
Apr 29, 2026 7:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.58% • n=665
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.36% • n=211
Start
Started 41d 16h ago
Updated
Updated 42d 11h ago