Villa Espanola vs Sportivo Bella Italia
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Villa Espanola. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Villa EspanolaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.28. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.88% based on n=230 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Uruguay Primera Division Amateur (uy). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The market prices Villa Espanola as an outsider, but recent form does not suggest a gap wide enough to completely dismiss the selection. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Villa Espanola is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Villa Espanola – Sportivo Bella Italia Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Hume City - Oakleigh Cannons | 3.27 | -1.88% |
| LOSS | Rio Barra FC - Tigres do Brasil | 3.34 | -1.88% |
| WIN | Benfica Macau - Macau Chiba FC | 3.27 | -1.88% |
| LOSS | Brazil (W) - USA (W) | 3.09 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Suva FC - Lautoka FC | 3.15 | -2.37% |
| WIN | VPS Vaasa - HJK Helsinki | 3.32 | -1.88% |
| WIN | Loveledge Nagoya (W) - Shizuoka SSU Asregina (W) | 3.10 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic - Meizhou Hakka | 3.10 | -3.20% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCD - Cork City | 1 | 3.11 | -2.37% | 24 Jul 20:45 |