Model: TIPPSH

Suduva Marijampole vs Hegelmann Litauen

PREDICTION

@ 1.71

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 20, 2026 7:46 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 5h

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Suduva Marijampole. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Suduva Marijampole

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

3/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.75First seen

Current1.71Now

Max odds1.75Highest point

Min odds1.68Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Suduva MarijampoleHOME

Hegelmann LitauenAWAY

DWWWD

Recent form

LDDLD

Avg goals scored

1.20

0.60

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.60

Shots on target for

4.60

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

2.80

3.40

Home splitD-W-D-W-D1.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Away splitL-D-L-L-W1.00 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.71. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -9.21% based on n=1970 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Lithuania A Lyga (lt). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.71

V2 BandNONEROI -9.21% · n=1970

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The market strongly favors Suduva Marijampole, and recent form broadly confirms the direction of the price. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Suduva Marijampole's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 25.8% 7D: 19.4% 15D: 12.7% 30D: 20.1%

Model insight

Suduva Marijampole – Hegelmann Litauen Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -9.21% across 1970 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample217

Win Rate58.1%

Profit-5.43u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Japan Soccer College - Artista Asama	1.71	-6.04%
LOSS	Avondale U23 - St Albans Saints U23	1.68	-9.21%
LOSS	Chrobry Glogow - Sleza Wroclaw	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	KF Fjallabyggd - Sindri	1.70	-9.21%
LOSS	Man Utd - Wrexham	1.71	-9.21%
WIN	Beijing Guoan U20 - Henan U20	1.64	-7.35%
LOSS	The Town - North Texas SC	1.74	-9.21%
WIN	Houston Dynamo II - Colorado Rapids II	1.66	-9.21%

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Nautico - Londrina	1	1.73	-9.21%	23 Jul 02:30

Pick

1 @ 1.71

Kickoff

Lug 20, 2026 7:46 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -9.21% • n=1970

Start

Starts in 1d 5h

Updated

Updated 9m ago