Model: TIPPSH
Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.88
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 6:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 22h 44m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 19m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Los Angeles FC II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Los Angeles FC IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.034 | A: 0.067Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
27/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.89First seen
Current1.88Now
Max odds1.89Highest point
Min odds1.88Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Los Angeles FC IIHOME
VS
Tacoma DefianceAWAY
DWDLD
Recent form
LWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.00
2.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.60
Shots on target for
5.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
5.20
Home splitW-D-D-W-W1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-W-W-D-L1.60 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA MLS Next Pro League (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.88
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -17.0%
7D: -17.1%
15D: 2.3%
30D: 5.2%
Model insight
Los Angeles FC II – Tacoma Defiance Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample583
Win Rate52.0%
Profit+1.36u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Tauro FC Reserves - San Martin FC | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | CA Huracan U20 - Godoy Cruz U20 | 1.82 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Newell's U20 - San Lorenzo U20 | 2.10 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SV Donau Klagenfurt - SVG Bleiburg | 1.95 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Viimsi JK - FC Levadia Tallinn U21 | 1.76 | 1.04% |
| WIN | FK Banga (W) - Kauno Rajono FA (W) | 1.76 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Karpaty Lviv - Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.79 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Dukla Banska Bystrica U19 - MFK Zemplin Michalovce U19 | 1.93 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Sacramento Republic - Lexington SC | 1 | 2.12 | 1.04% | 16 Aug 05:00 |
| Lautoka FC - Nadi FC | 1 | 1.85 | 1.31% | 16 Aug 05:00 |
| Dukla Praha B - Kraluv Dvur | 1 | 2.13 | 1.31% | 16 Aug 10:15 |
| SK Unicov - FC Brno II | 1 | 1.78 | 1.04% | 16 Aug 10:15 |
| Yokohama FC - Jubilo Iwata | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 16 Aug 11:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.88
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 6:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Starts in 22h 44m
Updated
Updated 19m ago