Model: TIPPSH

NEC vs Bodo/Glimt

PREDICTION

@ 2.57

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 19, 2026 11:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 3d 16h

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is NEC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: NECGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.017 | A: 0.107

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.58First seen

Current2.57Now

Max odds2.58Highest point

Min odds2.57Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

NECHOME

Bodo/GlimtAWAY

WWLDL

Recent form

WWDWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

3.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

Shots on target for

7.20

6.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

2.40

Home splitW-L-L-L-W2.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-W-W-W2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.57. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to UEFA Champions League Qualifying. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.57

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -17.0% 7D: -17.1% 15D: 2.3% 30D: 5.2%

Model insight

NEC – Bodo/Glimt Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.57. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample107

Win Rate43.9%

Profit+11.61u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Oldham - Port Vale	2.60	3.15%
LOSS	Torslanda IK - Dalstorps IF	2.35	2.49%
LOSS	ASD Pineto Calcio - Gubbio	2.42	2.49%
LOSS	Yarmouk - Al Salibikhaet SC	2.33	2.49%
LOSS	Bedford Town - Darlington 1883	2.56	2.49%
WIN	Barnet - Salford City	2.38	3.15%
LOSS	Loughborough University - Belper Town	2.70	2.49%
LOSS	Gimnastica de Torrelavega - Sestao River	2.40	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.57

Kickoff

Ago 19, 2026 11:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025

Confidence V4

CONF V4: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V4

2.49% • n=1025

Start

Starts in 3d 16h

Updated

Updated 9m ago