Model: TipA1
Los Angeles FC – Toluca
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 6:30 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 1
StartStarted 26d 22h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.30% · n=159
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 29d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Los Angeles FC | Toluca |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-D-L-D | L-W-L-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-D-L-W-W (home) | L-L-L-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.40 scored / 1.00 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.80 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.20 for / 5.00 against | 5.20 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 4.40 for / 4.60 against (home) | 4.80 for / 4.80 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Toluca has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.00First seen
Current3.50Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.00Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Los Angeles FC – Toluca Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.30% across 159 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate26.7%
Profit-1.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | UWA-Nedlands FC Reserves - Murdoch University Melville FC Reserves | 3.25 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Vilnius Football Academy - Suduva Marijampole II | 3.25 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Agropecuario Reserves - All Boys Reserves | 3.50 | -3.74% |
| LOSS | Al-Najma Manama - Al Ittihad | 3.25 | -0.53% |
| WIN | UE Castelldefels - Jupiter CE | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Bentleigh Greens - Northcote City | 3.60 | -2.30% |
| WIN | Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima | 3.70 | -2.30% |
| LOSS | Dorogi FC - Komarom VSE | 3.60 | -2.30% |
Pick
2 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 6:30 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.30% • n=159
Start
Started 26d 22h ago
Updated
Updated 29d 16h ago