Model: TIPPSA
Lyon – Rennes
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.42
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 10:45 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 2
StartStarted 23d 8h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 7.14% · n=68
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 10h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Lyon | Rennes |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-W-W-W-D | L-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Home/Away form | W-W-W (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.33 conceded | 3.00 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.40 for / 4.60 against | 7.60 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.33 for / 5.33 against (home) | 6.67 for / 4.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Rennes is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.21First seen
Current3.43Now
Max odds3.43Highest point
Min odds3.19Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Lyon – Rennes Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.42. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 7.14% across 68 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample36
Win Rate33.3%
Profit+4.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Rapid Vienna - SV Ried | 3.29 | 4.77% |
| WIN | America MG - Vila Nova | 3.33 | 3.84% |
| LOSS | Los Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders | 3.65 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Slavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen | 3.49 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Widzew Lodz - Piast Gliwice | 3.28 | 4.77% |
| LOSS | Grasshoppers - Aarau | 3.58 | 3.84% |
| WIN | Sport Recife - CRB | 3.38 | 3.04% |
| LOSS | Iwaki FC - Matsumoto Y FC | 3.40 | 2.94% |
Pick
2 @ 3.42
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 10:45 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
7.14% • n=68
Start
Started 23d 8h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 10h ago