Macara – Club Atletico Libertad

Model: TIPPSH

Macara vs Club Atletico Libertad

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 77d ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 77d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Macara. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Macara

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

43/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.06First seen
Current2.21Now
Max odds2.23Highest point
Min odds1.94Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MacaraHOME
VS
Club Atletico LibertadAWAY
WLWWL
Recent form
LLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.00
Shots on target for
4.80
2.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
5.80
Home splitW-W-D-L1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitL-L-L0.33 scored / 2.33 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.15. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.86% based on n=299 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Ecuador LigaPro Serie A (ec). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.15
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 4.86% · n=299
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Macara's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 25.7% 7D: 7.9% 15D: 11.1% 30D: 16.6%
Model insight

Macara – Club Atletico Libertad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample265
Win Rate46.0%
Profit-13.05u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSWexford FC - Kerry FC1.903.37%
WINAlamein FC (W) - Preston Lions (W)1.903.37%
WINBFA Vilnius - FK Ekranas2.253.15%
LOSSNautico - EC Juventude2.273.15%
WINFK Jelgava - SC Grobinas2.053.37%
WINCuiaba - America MG2.133.37%
LOSSWuhan Three Towns Reserves - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue2.383.15%
LOSSJacuipense U20 - Fluminense De Feira U202.302.49%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 10:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 77d ago
Updated
Updated 77d 2h ago
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