Model: TIPPSA
Macarthur FC – Wellington Phoenix
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.10
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 24, 2026 1:35 PM
ResultLOSS4 - 0
StartStarted 32d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 32d 19h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Macarthur FC | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-W | L-W-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.25 | 0.75 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Home/Away form | W-W (home) | L-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.50 scored / 1.00 conceded | 0.33 scored / 2.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.25 for / 6.25 against | 2.75 for / 5.75 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 1.67 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.50First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.50Highest point
Min odds3.33Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Macarthur FC – Wellington Phoenix Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate31.1%
Profit-2.34u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Siroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U19 | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Burnley - Wolverhampton | 2.90 | -1.07% |
| LOSS | Tabor Sezana - NK Rudar Velenje | 2.87 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Hibernian - Motherwell | 3.17 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - FF Jaro | 3.03 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Sturm Graz II - Rapid Vienna II | 2.88 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | HB Torshavn - Vikingur Gota | 2.85 | -0.51% |
| WIN | FC Thun - Young Boys | 2.93 | -0.51% |
Pick
2 @ 3.10
Kickoff
Apr 24, 2026 1:35 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 32d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 32d 19h ago