Model: TIPPSH
Macarthur Rams (W) – Gladesville Ravens (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.15
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 3
StartStarted 23d 15h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Macarthur Rams (W) | Gladesville Ravens (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-L-L-W-W | W-L-L-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Home/Away form | L-W-W (home) | W-L-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 2.33 conceded |
| Shots on target | 3.50 for / 4.50 against | 3.00 for / 6.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 1.50 for / 3.00 against (home) | 3.67 for / 5.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.40First seen
Current2.65Now
Max odds2.65Highest point
Min odds2.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Macarthur Rams (W) – Gladesville Ravens (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.15. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample218
Win Rate45.9%
Profit-13.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
| FC Spartak Trnava - MSK Zilina | 1 | 1.93 | 2.30% | 10 May 19:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.15
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 23d 15h ago
Updated
Updated 24d ago