Model: TIPPSH

Queanbeyan City vs Tuggeranong Utd

PREDICTION

@ 1.88

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 05, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1h 21m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 42m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Queanbeyan City. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Queanbeyan CityGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.065 | A: -0.027

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

28/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.91First seen

Current1.80Now

Max odds1.97Highest point

Min odds1.75Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Queanbeyan CityHOME

Tuggeranong UtdAWAY

WLDDL

Recent form

WLWWW

Avg goals scored

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.40

Shots on target for

7.60

4.80

SoT conceded pressure

4.80

5.20

Home splitW-W-L-W-W2.20 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-L-W-W-W2.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.88. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Capital Territory Premier League (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.88

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

With no dominant recent form edge, the pick should be interpreted mainly through the model's historical profile. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Queanbeyan City's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 53.0% 7D: 30.6% 15D: 9.6% 30D: 12.4%

Model insight

Queanbeyan City – Tuggeranong Utd Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.88. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample442

Win Rate48.4%

Profit-29.19u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Nublense - Rangers de Talca	2.09	1.04%
WIN	Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	1.82	1.31%
WIN	Academia de Balompie Boliviano - Real Oruro	2.05	1.04%
LOSS	RTC FC - Thimphu FC	1.77	1.04%
WIN	FC Cincinnati - Pachuca	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	Lillestrøm 2 - Kongsvinger 2	1.92	1.31%
WIN	Torque Reserves - Deportivo Maldonado Reserves	1.99	1.04%
LOSS	Dynamo Makhachkala - Krylia Sovetov	2.08	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.88

Kickoff

Ago 05, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Starts in 1h 21m

Updated

Updated 42m ago