Malmo FF (W) – IFK Goteborg (W)

Model: TipTromba4H

Malmo FF (W) vs IFK Goteborg (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 11, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 61d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.06% · n=273
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 63d 2h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Malmo FF (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Malmo FF (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.74First seen
Current3.75Now
Max odds3.75Highest point
Min odds2.64Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FF (W)HOME
VS
IFK Goteborg (W)AWAY
LWWD
Recent form
WWWWW
Avg goals scored
1.25
3.00
Defensive weakness
0.75
0.80
Shots on target for
4.75
6.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.50
4.00
Home splitL-W1.50 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitW-W-W-D-W2.20 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.06% based on n=273 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Damallsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.50
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.06% · n=273
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.06% · n=273
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. Comparable matches classified within the HIGH confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 2.9% 7D: -7.0% 15D: -4.5% 30D: 1.2%
Model insight

Malmo FF (W) – IFK Goteborg (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba4H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.06% and 5.06%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample37
Win Rate35.1%
Profit+10.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINLeatherhead - Dorking Wanderers3.755.43%
WINEast Kilbride - Dunfermline3.755.43%
WINVendsyssel FF - KFUM3.755.43%
LOSSLP Super Sport Sofia (W) - FK Paldin Plovdiv (W)3.755.43%
LOSSKolding IF (W) - Fortuna Hjørring (W)3.755.43%
WINCA Metropolitano - Blumenau EC3.755.43%
LOSSMineros - Deportivo Miranda FC3.505.06%
LOSSCockburn City Reserves - Joondalup City Reserves3.605.06%
Pick
1 @ 3.50
Kickoff
Mag 11, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.06% • n=273
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.06% • n=273
Start
Started 61d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 63d 2h ago
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