Model: TIPPSH

Mawlai SC vs Shillong Lajong Reserves

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 6h 5m

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 6m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mawlai SC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mawlai SCGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.094 | A: 0.235

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

39/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.22First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.30Highest point

Min odds2.22Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mawlai SCHOME

Shillong Lajong ReservesAWAY

WLLWW

Recent form

WDWWD

Avg goals scored

2.40

1.20

Defensive weakness

0.80

0.40

Shots on target for

5.20

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

2.60

1.00

Home splitW-L-W-L-D2.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitD-W-D-W1.75 scored / 0.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.15% based on n=323 historical similar picks. The match belongs to India Shillong Premier League (in). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.30

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.15% · n=323

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mawlai SC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 51.0% 7D: 12.6% 15D: 2.9% 30D: 3.8%

Model insight

Mawlai SC – Shillong Lajong Reserves Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 3.15% across 323 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample232

Win Rate42.2%

Profit-9.50u

Historical Similar Predictions

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LOSS	FC Grand-Saconnex - FC Schaffhausen	2.24	3.37%
WIN	Kalamata - Panetolikos	2.45	2.49%
LOSS	Jaguares de Cordoba U19 - Barranquilla FC U19	2.42	2.49%

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Pick

1 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 3.15% • n=323

Start

Starts in 6h 5m

Updated

Updated 6m ago