Mirandes B – CDA Palencia

Model: TIPPSH

Mirandes B vs CDA Palencia

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.56
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 06, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 12h 5m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14h 9m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mirandes B. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mirandes BGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

62/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.37First seen
Current2.56Now
Max odds2.56Highest point
Min odds2.37Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mirandes BHOME
VS
CDA PalenciaAWAY
LLWLL
Recent form
WWLLW
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
2.40
1.00
Shots on target for
6.75
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
4.25
3.20
Home splitL-W-D-L2.00 scored / 2.25 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-L-L1.20 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.56. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Spain Tercera Group 8 (es). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.56
V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Recent performances only partially support the selection, which helps explain the higher market price. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mirandes B's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -0.1% 7D: 9.4% 15D: 10.7% 30D: 5.9%
Model insight

Mirandes B – CDA Palencia Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.56. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate42.2%
Profit+2.75u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINStrømsgodset 2 - Finnsnes IL2.408.94%
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LOSSAl Wehda Mecca - Damac FC2.358.94%
LOSSAvispa Fukuoka - Urawa Red Diamonds2.498.94%
WINDunajska Streda - Slovan Bratislava2.708.94%
LOSSHearts (W) - Rangers (W)2.438.94%
LOSSTienen - Dessel Sport2.418.94%
LOSSDeportivo Santaní - Deportivo Recoleta2.678.94%
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Pick
1 @ 2.56
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Started 12h 5m ago
Updated
Updated 14h 9m ago
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